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Financial market prices are often driven by differences between expectations and outcomes. When a widely watched economic release diverges from the consensus forecast, asset prices can adjust sharply within minutes, which is why trading volume usually spikes around major data publications.

Betting markets express expectations through odds. Lower odds imply that the market considers an outcome more likely, while higher odds indicate a larger perceived risk and a correspondingly larger potential return. Converting odds into implied probability is the first step in judging whether a price offers any value relative to your own assessment.

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